Pre-tourney Rankings
East Carolina
Conference USA
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#141
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#126
Pace67.0#203
Improvement+3.6#45

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#138
Improvement+0.4#157

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#140
Improvement+3.2#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2010 254   Campbell W 76-63 84%     1 - 0 +4.1 -4.2 -4.1
  Nov 18, 2010 89   North Carolina St. L 65-85 38%     1 - 1 -15.0 +1.8 +2.4
  Nov 19, 2010 199   Charlotte L 63-74 66%     1 - 2 -13.3 -1.6 -1.3
  Nov 21, 2010 319   South Carolina Upstate W 75-67 88%     2 - 2 -3.1 -5.4 -5.3
  Nov 27, 2010 286   UNC Greensboro W 81-53 88%     3 - 2 +17.0 -5.0 -4.6
  Dec 01, 2010 199   Charlotte W 62-61 76%     4 - 2 -4.5 -2.6 -2.8
  Dec 07, 2010 61   Old Dominion L 68-81 36%     4 - 3 -7.5 +2.7 +2.1
  Dec 18, 2010 106   Coastal Carolina L 58-59 43%     4 - 4 +2.7 +1.5 +2.1
  Dec 22, 2010 158   @ George Washington L 80-82 43%     4 - 5 +1.7 +2.3 +1.3
  Dec 29, 2010 29   @ Clemson L 59-71 11%     4 - 6 +3.5 +7.2 +7.7
  Jan 03, 2011 312   @ NC Central W 58-50 80%     5 - 6 +1.0 -4.1 -2.6
  Jan 08, 2011 92   @ Memphis L 58-61 28%     5 - 7 0 - 1 +4.9 +3.4 +4.3
  Jan 15, 2011 180   Tulane W 76-67 72%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +4.8 -1.8 -2.0
  Jan 17, 2011 68   UAB L 59-66 39%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -2.3 +2.2 +2.2
  Jan 19, 2011 105   @ Central Florida W 74-62 31%     7 - 8 2 - 2 +18.9 +3.6 +3.9
  Jan 22, 2011 78   @ Marshall W 82-81 24%     8 - 8 3 - 2 +10.2 +5.0 +4.2
  Jan 26, 2011 74   Southern Miss L 77-84 43%     8 - 9 3 - 3 -3.2 +2.1 +1.3
  Jan 29, 2011 202   Houston W 74-70 77%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -1.8 -3.0 -2.6
  Feb 02, 2011 150   @ SMU L 41-46 40%     9 - 10 4 - 4 -0.7 +1.1 +2.9
  Feb 05, 2011 105   Central Florida W 68-61 55%     10 - 10 5 - 4 +7.6 +0.3 +0.6
  Feb 12, 2011 78   Marshall L 65-78 46%     10 - 11 5 - 5 -10.1 +0.9 +1.4
  Feb 16, 2011 87   @ Tulsa L 67-86 27%     10 - 12 5 - 6 -10.7 +3.9 +3.5
  Feb 19, 2011 74   @ Southern Miss L 55-72 22%     10 - 13 5 - 7 -6.9 +4.3 +5.0
  Feb 23, 2011 67   UTEP W 83-76 39%     11 - 13 6 - 7 +11.7 +2.6 +2.4
  Feb 26, 2011 153   @ Rice W 71-68 41%     12 - 13 7 - 7 +7.1 +2.4 +1.9
  Mar 02, 2011 92   Memphis W 68-57 51%     13 - 13 8 - 7 +12.6 +0.8 +1.3
  Mar 05, 2011 68   @ UAB L 48-66 19%     13 - 14 8 - 8 -7.0 +4.8 +5.3
  Mar 09, 2011 105   Central Florida W 75-60 43%     14 - 14 +18.8 +2.4 +2.1
  Mar 10, 2011 68   UAB W 75-70 OT 28%     15 - 14 +12.9 +3.6 +4.4
  Mar 11, 2011 92   Memphis L 56-76 39%     15 - 15 -15.2 +1.9 +1.9
Projected Record 15.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%